The U.S. plans to seize Iranian crude tankers and move missile systems to Jordan. Gulf State military action against Iran by ...

The USS Rushmore is now conducting blockade operations in the Arabian Sea. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by June ...

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned an attack that killed a French UNIFIL peacekeeper and wounded three others in ...

Kelp DAO bridge hack results in $292M loss from rsETH reserves, marking 2026's largest DeFi exploit and impacting cross-chain ...

Iran rejected US uranium trade demands, stalling negotiations. Ending enrichment by April 30 now at 28.5% YES.

SARB warns that the Middle East conflict complicates ECB rate cut outlook. 50 bps cut by April 2026 at 0.2% YES.

Tel Aviv protests against Netanyahu continue, but market odds for him stepping down by June 30 remain low at 5.5% YES.

Kamala Harris accused Netanyahu of dragging Trump into war with Iran. The U.S. invasion of Iran market now sits at 6.5% YES, ...

Israeli army claims its Lebanon attacks comply with ceasefire terms. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES, June 30 at 100% YES, ...

Iran cites "major differences" with the US after failed peace talks. US-Iran peace deal by April 22 at 19.5% YES.

IRGC fired on a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, making UK warship passage unlikely; market at 8.5% YES for sending warships ...

Iran issued new directives for the Strait of Hormuz amid US talks. Diplomatic meeting with Trump by April 30 now at 13% YES.