Iran will prioritize ships paying security fees in the Strait of Hormuz. Fewer than 10 ships transiting April 13-19 at 0.4% ...

The U.S. plans to seize Iranian crude tankers and move missile systems to Jordan. Gulf State military action against Iran by ...

Kelp DAO bridge hack results in $292M loss from rsETH reserves, marking 2026's largest DeFi exploit and impacting cross-chain ...

Iran rejected US uranium trade demands, stalling negotiations. Ending enrichment by April 30 now at 28.5% YES.

The USS Rushmore is now conducting blockade operations in the Arabian Sea. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by June ...

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned an attack that killed a French UNIFIL peacekeeper and wounded three others in ...

Tel Aviv protests against Netanyahu continue, but market odds for him stepping down by June 30 remain low at 5.5% YES.

SARB warns that the Middle East conflict complicates ECB rate cut outlook. 50 bps cut by April 2026 at 0.2% YES.

Kamala Harris accused Netanyahu of dragging Trump into war with Iran. The U.S. invasion of Iran market now sits at 6.5% YES, ...

Iran cites "major differences" with the US after failed peace talks. US-Iran peace deal by April 22 at 19.5% YES.

IRGC fired on a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, making UK warship passage unlikely; market at 8.5% YES for sending warships ...

Iran's navy fired on Indian tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, causing UK warship deployment odds by April 30 to drop to 8.5% ...